Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.348997 0.381086 0.415252 0.454416 0.498161 0.545625 0.601163
2026-01-04 0.299077 0.344565 0.396271 0.459731 0.535978 0.625210 0.738382
2026-01-11 0.268563 0.320701 0.382641 0.462329 0.563117 0.687675 0.855328
2026-01-18 0.246060 0.302259 0.371404 0.463812 0.585713 0.743361 0.966558
2026-01-25 0.229511 0.288802 0.363978 0.467815 0.609958 0.801385 1.085127
2026-02-01 0.210868 0.270645 0.348343 0.458660 0.614467 0.831692 1.166752
2026-02-08 0.199196 0.260482 0.342038 0.460927 0.633991 0.883591 1.284092
2026-02-15 0.187213 0.248844 0.332572 0.457515 0.644375 0.922261 1.384577
2026-02-22 0.178349 0.240771 0.327265 0.459268 0.661938 0.972528 1.508152
2026-03-01 0.168332 0.230343 0.317762 0.453846 0.667708 1.004397 1.604260
2026-03-08 0.158979 0.220248 0.307997 0.447113 0.670523 1.031238 1.694056
2026-03-15 0.148514 0.207912 0.294134 0.432979 0.660146 1.035042 1.742795
2026-03-22 0.144330 0.204735 0.293918 0.440407 0.685866 1.102552 1.917431
2026-03-29 0.139861 0.200866 0.292388 0.445577 0.708185 1.166302 2.093605
2026-04-05 0.135127 0.196295 0.289431 0.448078 0.725919 1.223276 2.263739
2026-04-12 0.130521 0.191651 0.286035 0.449506 0.741703 1.277913 2.436247
2026-04-19 0.126772 0.188133 0.284196 0.453359 0.762001 1.342819 2.639452
2026-04-26 0.120693 0.180600 0.275406 0.444546 0.758189 1.360354 2.740639
2026-05-03 0.117208 0.177066 0.272987 0.446728 0.775062 1.420461 2.947036
2026-05-10 0.112910 0.171999 0.267729 0.443443 0.781113 1.458929 3.108093
2026-05-17 0.109802 0.168735 0.265323 0.445131 0.796890 1.519077 3.330856
2026-05-24 0.105658 0.163563 0.259388 0.439911 0.798451 1.548843 3.481712
2026-05-31 0.101544 0.158269 0.252991 0.433427 0.796921 1.571609 3.617850